Predicting Disability


Surveys from Bangladesh, China, the Philippines, Thailand and Viet Nam reveal that injury is the leading cause of death and disability among children.


BANGKOK, 11 March 2008 - Children in Asia are at great risk of dying from injuries such as drowning and road accidents. Surveys from Bangladesh, China, the Philippines, Thailand and Viet Nam reveal that injury is the leading cause of death and disability among children older than one year of age in these countries, with drowning taking the heaviest toll.

A child born in Asia is still at greatest risk of dying in the first month of life. But the survey findings confirm what has often been known within communities across the region: that the risk of dying from injury increases after infancy as children grow more independent and interact with their environment and as the threat of death from infectious and non-communicable diseases falls. Nearly half of all child deaths included in the studies happened after the age of five. The most easily preventable causes were suffocation and drowning which mostly occurred in children under five years of age.

The research, conducted over the last seven years, was spearheaded by UNICEF and The Alliance for Safe Children (TASC), working in partnership with local public health teams. Responses were gathered from face-to-face interviews done with more than half a million households covering more than 2 million people in the five countries. For the first time ever in the countries covered, the causes of death and disability among a representative sample of all children up to 18 years were reliably recorded. The results highlight injury – in its different forms – as an acute menace to children’s lives.

Over the past few decades, Asia has made major progress in cutting the number of deaths among children-under five, with extended vaccination coverage, better access to sanitation and good hygiene and improvements in nutrition playing a critical role.

“This evidence overwhelmingly confirms that injury is and has been a major killer. It is now time to make it a public health necessity and to reverse the tide of child injury related deaths” said Pete Peterson, President of TASC.

Findings from the five-country household surveys indicate that the causes of injury differ by age group and are associated with exposure to different types of risks:

* Infants younger than 1 year have limited exposure to injury because mothers and caregivers tend to provide a protective environment. While the child is dependent upon them, the risks are limited to choking, suffocation and falls.
* Toddlers aged 1-4 years, exposed to hazards in and around the home, are at greatest risk of drowning.
* School-aged children aged 5–9 years spend a lot of time outside the home, either in school or engaged in social activities, and are thus at greatest risk from drowning and road traffic accidents.
* Adolescents aged 10–17 years are navigating the difficult transition to adulthood and are thus more exposed to risk-taking behaviour in addition to exposure to violence.

Alarmingly, most of the surveys indicated that intentional injury - homicide and suicide - was the leading cause of death among adolescents. Taking into account the difficulty and sensitivity in collecting such information through interviews, the researchers believe that even this new reported incidence is likely to underestimate the magnitude of the problem.

The national surveys relied on large sample sizes to enable reliable identification of causes of death and their breakdown by categories such as age, sex and urban or rural location. The data collected looked at deaths from all causes in the previous three years as well as all circumstances that required children and adults to miss work or school or to be hospitalized from injury in the previous year.

Many injuries, especially those that are fatal, are rarely reported to hospitals. As a result the cause of these deaths is often missing from national health statistics and civil registry systems. This creates a major challenges to accurately monitor child mortality, especially among children 5 years and older, and it underscores the need for adequate systems to track and record births and children’s deaths.

“If we are ultimately going to meet the Millennium Development Goal to reduce child mortality, it is imperative that we take action to address the causes of childhood injury,” said Anupama Rao Singh, Regional Director of UNICEF East Asia and Pacific. “We know that with a judicious mix of public health interventions - from investing more in awareness campaigns to equipping children and their parents with knowledge and skills - we can prevent the majority of these deaths.”

UNICEF and TASC are calling for better systems to record births and deaths as well as the expansion of child injury prevention programmes. These include campaigns for better road safety to lessen road traffic accidents, increased supervision and swimming lessons for children to prevent drowning and household safety education to prevent suffocation, falls, poisoning and animal bites.


UNICEF is on the ground in over 150 countries and territories to help children survive and thrive, from early childhood through adolescence. The world’s largest provider of vaccines for developing countries, UNICEF supports child health and nutrition, good water and sanitation, quality basic education for all boys and girls, and the protection of children from violence, exploitation, and AIDS. UNICEF is funded entirely by the voluntary contributions of individuals, businesses, foundations and governments.

For more information:

Shantha Bloemen, Media, UNICEF East Asia and Pacific Regional Office +66 2 356 9407 or +66 81 906 0813,

Tani Ruiz, Media, UNICEF East Asia and the Pacific Regional Office, Mobile: +66 89 204 3453 (Bangkok), Email:

UNICEF Regional weblink:

Leave a comment

Recent Entries

Disabled? No, Just a Bit Stiff.
The connection between Universal Design, aging, and travel continues to surface. A unique "massively multi-player future forecasting role-playing experience" designed…
Universal Design, Development, and Inclusive Tourism (Spanish)
De la revista Rèport Amèricas: Part I: Part II: Rèport Amèricas. Impresiones New Gate Media Editorial Turística, Año VI,…
Busqueda Laboral: Hotel Inclusivo en La Argentina (Spanish)
Noticas de la Argentina con una oportunidade profisional:       Está llegando... UNITE!!! Dejanos saber tu experiencia en un CV.    ¿Estudiaste…
Tools to Aid the Green Travel/Inclusive Travel Convergence
Editor's note: The following excerpt from Marcus L Endicott's blog may contain unfamiliar language but it you stick with it…
Benchmark Games: The Sydney 2000 Paralympic Games
Benchmark Games: The Sydney 2000 Paralympic GamesRichard Cashman and Simon DarcyWith a Foreword by Karen TighePublished in conjunction with…
Tanni Grey- Thompson on Travel
Dame Tanni Grey-Thompson takes the world on tour with her in the Mail Online article, "Celeb travel: Tanni Grey- Thompson…
A Proud Member of ENAT
TFA at the Best of Britain & Ireland: 28-29 March 2009
Tourism for All UK will have a stand (No 374) at this exciting new showthat invites you to explore…